Oct 17, 2013

Ethiopia’s “Economic Soul-Searching”


Ethiopian prime minister Hailemariam Desalegn in his second ever pres conference spoke of his country’s progress to local and foreign media. He admits bureaucratic inefficiency and fiancé are the bottleneck to Ethiopia’s decline in export. Which is one of the reasons why the country is experiencing shortage of foreign exchange reserve. In July it only had 2.3 billion Dollars, which is only good enough to buy two months of imports. Apparently according to Ethiopia’s Finance & Economic Development minister Ms. Sufian Ahmed the issue is expected to last much longer than the next few years. Production of textile and leather are the hopeful goods to bring in some foreign reserve. The premier also said, encouraging means to increase remittance as well as encouraging the manufacturing sector with finance will be other means to help over come the challenge.

The weakness of the private sector has also been touched on, of which the private sector and some international institutions such as the IMF blame the government’s policies as source of the problem. The government’s policy forcing private banks to allocate 27% of their loans to buy cheap government bonds and the central banks directive which restricts 40% of the loans that private banks receive to be a short term one year period loans are seen as significant challenges. As a subsequent some say, the private sector loaned only 44.5 Billion Birr compared to the loan the government banks gave which was 83.4 Billion Birr in the FY 12/13. The government defends this by saying some of the things that the government loaned should be considered as private such is the 14 billion Birr that was given to farmers.

A summary of an article by Fortune’s Managing Editor Tamrat G. Giorgis. 

I recommend visiting Addis Fortune's website and read two informative articles titled "Links to Vision 2025 Call for Rethinking Finance" and "NBE’s New Directive Lifts Microfinance paid up Capital to Two Million Birr"

Cheers,
Daniel 

Oct 16, 2013

Lessons to Team Ethiopia Before Going to Nigeria

Before sharing my own assessment of the game and what the lessons learned for team Ethiopia should be, let me get one thing out of my head. It might not be at a professional level but I have worked as a referee, coached an organized soccer team, played soccer & still play from time to time, and of course I have watched many great games like most Soccer fans. Just incase any reader feel the urge to burst, who am I to say anything about team Ethiopia, I will admit before I begin that, indeed I might not have the credentials like many others, but it is worth reminding myself and everyone that yes, everything is easier said than done. But that is true just with about anything in life anyway.

There are so many lessons I feel I have learned and observed as a consequence of Ethiopia’s quest to qualify for World Cup 2014 in Brazil. Following our lost to Nigeria and few of team Ethiopia’s games prior to that, I feel there are few lessons the Ethiopian fans and team Ethiopia in general ought to learn and quit repeating the same mistakes.

The Negative and Positive Side of the Fan Factor
Dear fans, please understand even if you are not part of the team on the field, you do have an influence on the growth and development of the football federation and the performance of the Ethiopian Walias directly and indirectly. Therefore it is your responsibility to contribute in a positive manner, else please don’t drug the team backwards. How could individuals or fans actually drag the whole federation down/team Ethiopia down? Simple, by going out there and destroying fellow countrymen hard-earned belongings and properties; and engaging in an act that is not accepted by FIFA and force the Ethiopian Football Federation to be penalized. Destroying public assets such as roads signs etc., and of course the real possibility of losing human life in the process.

Here is how you can influence the team in a positive manner and watch them achieve what you want them to achieve faster. Stop destroying things that don’t belong to you, find ways to earn more income, so that you will be wealthier and the government can collect more tax money from you. The richer the citizens get, the faster the government’s revenue will increase, the more money the government is able to collect, the higher probability that the budget towards sport, schools and recreations will increase, the more parks and organized sports there are in schools, the more opportunities there will be for the youth to engage in sports and recreational activities. The more youngsters play sports the higher the competition and the greater the pool we will have from which the National team coaches will select their best players to represent Ethiopia. This directly translates into more wins against opponents.

On the game day against Nigeria and many days leading to that, you can feel the excitement and anxiety on people’s faces and on their daily small talks. Amazingly one of the things that I kept hearing was, their concern about what will happen if we win. There was no question about it that, in most people’s minds, that if we win there will be certain level of chaos in the city that will emanate from excitement. And that they say, good amount of properties will be destroyed. That is not only it; people were convinced that many people would die. So it was not surprising but rather disheartening to hear people take comfort after the game for the fact that the loss meant people were now safe and sound as opposed to what would have transpired had the Walias beat Nigeria. I tried to argue with my friends saying, how can you even take comfort in that, even if it means certain unpleasant things might happen, we can’t take comfort at the fact that we lost and find positive side to losing. I thought, if people are really that indiscipline, they will do that next time too, so maybe that too is something that we should rather learn sooner than later. We need to get used to winning and uplifting the nations confidence. We can just keep on postponing things for the future and hoping. But of course they have had more close encounters and closer experience than I, hence albeit my disagreement in principle, I could understand where they are coming from. I have no choice but to retreat my argument and let them be for I do not necessarily feel and understand as much as they do.

Keeping these points in mind, I am disgusted to have learned and quite embarrassed behalf of my wonderful Ethiopia to learn that “some Ethiopian fans” attacked the bus carrying the Nigerian team on its way to the teams hotel stay following the game by throwing rocks at the bus. Consequently Nigeria’s midfielder Nosa Igiebor was injured in the process and needed immediate medical treatment, and the reports add Nigerian Football Federation Vice President Mike Umeh has reported it to FIFA. I cringe to call these acts of ‘Ethiopian fans’, that is not an Ethiopian like, and why in the world would anyone attack a team that squarely beat your own team at your own home game on your own turf? When your team gets beat at home, your opponents deserve respect and a total hospitality to reflect the long tradition that Ethiopians are known for.

That kind of act proves nothing but one’s ignorance and weakness of not controlling one’s emotions. The problem I have is even if it is an emotional thing and some people can’t control their emotions; why in the world direct that at the opponents team? For what exactly? I hope the responsible individuals are identified and face their actions. There was an Amharic bumper sticker that I once read in the local Ethiopian taxi; it read, የቤትህን ፀባይ እዛው!” (Yebthn tsebay ezaw!) loosely translates to keep your personal behaviors at home. Thanks to the incompetency of the Ethiopian federation and the team’s leadership the team have gotten so many penalties and warnings by FIFA up to date that, the last thing we need is more punishments because of some irresponsible fans. But most importantly please don’t ruin Ethiopia’s centuries old beautiful guest loving hospitality culture by doing unpleasant things to our opponents and African brothers. All of this is assuming the act was done by a genuine shortsighted individual/s who don’t think about tomorrow. However, I personally wouldn’t rule out people with ulterior motives. Otherwise, እባካችሁ ልብ ግዙ የሰውን ክብር ኣትንኩ፣ ኣገርም ኣታሳፍሩ (Ebakachu lib gizu yesew kibir atnku agerm atasafru).

Team Ethiopia
Playing great game is no longer enough for Ethiopians, we had enough of that, now we want you to come home with the wins and really truly believe why should any team be better than you? I feel part of the problem of not finishing is the level of expectation set. The best way to gauge that is following the team’s loss. There are two many people who simply just say, well we played good game it is as if we didn’t lose. People stopped us on the street to cheer us up and kept saying we didn’t lose, we played amazing. Those are two different things. Playing well doesn’t get you to the next level, winning does. Why can’t we finish? Are we choking because we don’t have the experience and we are just mentally not ready to even accept we can come out as winners against good teams? Because too frequently we seen team Ethiopia play really good game for most part of the game and we lose the game few minutes before the game is over.

Let us be candid about the strength and the weaknesses of our Walias. Why aren’t we shocked at the loss? Some might say, we are. I don’t believe so; we are not shocked we are just sad that we lost. Is it that because deep inside we have yet to accept that we can play against any team and win? Imagine if the Nigerians had lost, they would have been distraught. I think everyone the players the coaches, the fans I think we are still not confident yet on our team’s ability and we keep setting the expectation way too low. Trust me we are not doing no one a favor. We need to call it as we see it and criticize our teams and our coaches as necessary. That is the only way to let them know. No, we are no longer going to be satisfied with your great games.

When and Where Does Winning Start?
It starts in implementing the little things right; the competition is won on perfecting the tiny small things that will unquestionably bring the big difference.  A goal is a result of countless physical and mental preparation. Few months ago, team Ethiopia had 3 points taken away from their World Cup qualifying aggregate points for playing ineligible player. This directly affected the team’s standing and which team they got drawn against. How is it possible for a team not to keep track of the eligibility of the team’s players? How does at least one person in the whole team not review and know the eligibility of the players? Most recently, I heard some reports last week that Ethiopia is either warned or might get penalized by FIFA for failing to follow uniform rules (I supposed for failing to register a teams Jersey with FIFA). These things sound something that should be avoided by hiring an intern to learn FIFA rules if it needs be.

Some will rightfully say, ‘but on this game against Nigeria, we had scored two, the ref just failed to call it a goal and count it for us’. That is true, but soccer is a fast paced 90 minutes game. The referees do not always see everything; until the FIFA Goal Line Technology becomes reality everywhere some teams will benefit and some teams will lose. It will really continue to be a matter of luck as far as some close goal line calls are concerned. However, we should understand, most refs don’t go to the pitch hoping to help one team, they go hoping to make the best judgment and the right calls to officiate the game. That doesn’t always happen, but teams don’t need to waste energy on things that they can’t control. Focusing one’s energy on avoiding repeated mistakes is energy worth spent. Giving the same team the same type of fouls and penalties and letting them beat you on Penalty Kicks and when it repeats, it is hard to swallow and brush it under the rug. The game isn’t over until it is over. It is over when the final whistle is blown by the officials.

So why do we keep making terrible fouls and keep giving teams Penalty Kicks? Why do we keep finding ourselves running behind our opponents? Instead of at least trying to keep up with our opponents and put pressure on their shots, which really is much more difficult for a player to score than from a Penalty Kick, we keep giving them the easier options. Especially the Nigerians seem to know exactly where the weakness of our defense is, and they seem to have studied our players well as they should, they find ways to reach where we would foul them, so they keep doing the same thing, knowing we would keep giving. How come we don’t learn from our past exact defensive failures and avoid doing the same mistakes? If we don’t have the speed to keep up with the opponent’s strikers, why not keep more players back on the defensive end? Especially when there are only few minutes left to the game, why aren’t most of the players running up and down the whole field to close the very few minutes left.

Last but not least, team Ethiopia, you exhibited confidence and in complete control of the game for the most part of the game. You were playing as if you had been practicing to play like Spain’s team Barcelona with the exception of wearing a better-looking uniform. We full-heartedly believe on our Walias that you can beat the Super Eagles in Nigeria on the Eagle’s own turf. We know you are doing all that you can but you need to work on connecting with the goal, both taking more and stronger shorts. And most importantly we must learn and avoid repeating our mistakes of fouling inside the Penalty area. Do take us to Brazil please. We know that you play better than the Super Eagles and there absolutely is no reason why you shouldn’t win. We are all becoming a nation of savers so we can afford or attempt to, to fly to Brazil to watch you play. The impact reaching Brazil would have on Ethiopia and Ethiopians is truly unexplainable. “Yes. We. Can.”. 

Cheers,
Daniel


P.S. Yes I know, it is easier said than done.

Oct 12, 2013

Ethiopia vs. Nigeria (Ethiopia win 2-0)


Ethiopian Antelopes will host the Nigerian Eagles at Addis Ababa tomorrow on their world cup qualifier. The second game will be in Nigeria in November and the better of the two will qualify to the world cup in Brazil this summer. For Ethiopia it would be the first time ever to ever qualify so help us God! Why will the Ethiopian Antelopes beat the Nigerian Eagles? Well…first let’s remember a little embarrassing history that the Nigerians played on the Ethiopians before when the two met some years ago.


There is a history when the Ethiopians went to play Nigeria before, the Nigerians apparently threw bread at the Ethiopian players to suggest and mock the infamous Ethiopian famine to get to the players head. That wasn’t the only trick they played on the Ethiopian Antelopes. They (the Nigerian fans from the stands) also apparently kept on blowing the whistle anytime that an Ethiopian striker gets close to scoring on the Nigerian goal, then the Ethiopian strikers would stop, thinking it was a whistle from the official referees. 

The worst part of the tricks was when Ethiopia hosted Nigeria at home in Addis Ababa. The Ethiopians tried to do the same thing and a fan from the stands blew a whistle when the Nigerian striker was close to score on the Ethiopian goal. As soon as the whistle was blown, the Nigerian striker didn’t stop, instead the Ethiopian goalie stopped playing thinking it was an official whistle giving the Nigerian striker a free goal to score on.  A huge lesson from this is, you can’t do someone else plan or trick and hope it will work on others the way it worked on you. One can only travel through one’s own vision and implement one’s ideal plans.

 This time around our Walias (Antelopes) are implementing their own plan and playing their own game and not someone else’s. I actually believe although the Nigerians were the Champions of the African Cup of Nations just this year and are considered one of the strongest teams, I think for Ethiopia it is one of the teams that we are better off facing. Here is why I believe our Walias will actually beat the Eagles. The Nigerians confidence should be high for the right reasons, they beat us 3-0 during the African Cup of Nations and apparently the polls in Nigeria showed Ethiopia was their number one choice to be drawn against, long before the draw. This should have its own effect coming to our own home and finding out a more confident Ethiopian team surrounded with some of the most fanatic football fans in the entire world. The Ethiopians also know they could actually play on the same level as the Nigerians and although we lost 3-0 against them in South Africa, our players am sure know, they played better game until the 75 minute, and what I believe let us down was not lack of ability, but rather lack of experience. Since then our players have improved and seem to get the idea that the game is over only when the final whistle is blown.

The Ethiopian Walias should also be thinking this is their time for revenge to earn their respect by sending the Eagles home more humble or however you see it. Not only that, but our players know the stakes are high, they have an opportunity to take their country to Brazil for the first time ever and they are too darn close not to. This being the first of two games hosted in their own crappy field where they know where the wholes are, there is nothing on their minds but a win, end of story.

Around here, it is going crazy, people have been chanting and singing on the streets dressed in their Ethiopian Jerseys for days now. I have heard, some people have been praying and not even eating, and about 100 of students travelled by foot from Adama University to get to the Stadium and watch their Walias beat Nigeria. How far is Adama University from the Addis Ababa Stadium you may ask? 100km. After having travelled for three straight days, the students arrived safely in Addis last night. I was lucky enough to be in Meskel Square by coincidence and the faith and the positive energy of people like those students will sure count for an Ethiopian 2-0 win over Nigeria. You heard it here first J. Amlake hoy ende balefew adrgln….

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PXlH6dzEPRg

Cheers,

Daniel 

Oct 10, 2013

Ye Adem Mestawet የአደም መስታወት



In the Amharic language, Ethiopians have a saying, "የቆጡን ኣወርድ ብላ የብብቷን ጣለች" YeqoTun awerd bla, yeb'btuan Talech…which means losing/dropping what’s already in one’s arm pit while attempting to reach for something that is on a higher place. Sometimes we observe either ourselves or others engage in this exact situation. Life is beautiful. Yours truly,
#LifelongStudent.

If you understand Amharic you should listen to this timeless poem by Laureate Tsegaye Gebre-Medhin titled አብረን ዝም እንበል (Abren Zim Inebel) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1U2cYCo6zqI

Cheers,
Daniel 

Oct 8, 2013

Title This Poem

Help me title this poem. Being young and energetic has its own challenges. Have you been out in the nightlife just going along with your peers and the flow of the moment. Try to observe the motive and the relentless effort of people trying to capitalize on fleeting moments of opportunity. Pursuing to impress one another to win a genuine glimpse of interest from others in order to fill-in some internal void. Life is always on a constant motion and we orbit along with it. Fortunately and unfortunately, it is hard for us to realize the speed and the direction of the motion; unless of course you take yourself out of the flow and attempt to see the motion from a corner of an outside perspective. We are all linked to each other and to the circumstances that define the moment and ultimately define us. So it is indeed hard to detach from the life you live, and look at things from an outside point of view. However, sometimes whether by choice or by accident we are able to see things, and feel we have a good sense of the world in front of us. The word we ourselves actually live in.

Thus far I have not been able to come up with a fitting title for this 4:30 am Tigrigna poem of mine. I did consider titling it void, E'mqotn rHqetn (ዕምቆትን ርሕቀትን) as well as Haftn S'Enetn (ሃፍትን ስእነትን), but still I feel none of these are quite fitting. So what would you title it?


Cheers,
Daniel

Oct 5, 2013

Poetically Prismatic


All alone on my own
Searching for thee unknown
I have traveled afar from the shore
Willing but unconscious what I search for

Carried by the wave with out a clue
Now I’m lost in this vast sea of blue
Lonely and scared w/out a choice N guide
In a naked violent sea, ain’t no place to hide

Voiceless only inner contemplation
Wondering if I will ever find my destination,
but I sure know, the storm of the sea
Is passionately destined to destroy me
My physical state might be due
But my soul will still search for the true…
My mind’s poetic chaos is insanely lunatic
Yet in-between dreams…
Vivid and poetically prismatic.


Cheers,
Daniel

Oct 3, 2013

The Price of Standing Up For The Truth


This post is dedicated to the poet Nguyen Chi Thien.

My heart, that endless story, is something
That only a child will understand, love and like
He will not fully grasp its profundity or richness
But will instinctively share its marvelous quality.
My heart? It’s the pen, inkstand and paper tube
Of a gentleman-scholar unlucky at the exams
Left in a corner to gather dust and dream….

The above poem is an excerpt from a poem titled My Heart by Nguyen Chi Thien’s from his book where you can read more of his poems Flowers From Hell.

Who is Nguyen Chi Thien? Born in 1939 Thien was one of the greatest contemporary Vietnamese poets, who died exactly a year ago on October 2nd 2012 at the age of 73. Thien had spent 27 years (equal to that of Nelson Mandela’s) of his life in prison and good amount of these years in a solitary confinement. Why? Because he refused to accept the North Vietnamese Communist leader Ho Chi Minh as a hero and Communism as paradise. As Margalit Fox wrote on the New York Times, “It was not the isolation that was hardest to endure, though it lasted nearly three decades. Nor was it the cold of his cell, where he was often chained naked, nor summer’s blistering heat, nor the rusty shackles that infected his legs, nor the relentless hunger. It was, Nguyen Chi Thien said afterward, the utter lack of access to the written word: no books, no newspapers and, more devastating still for a poet, not so much as a pencil or a scrap of paper.”

Let’s look into the history of poetry to put Mr. Thien's life in context. Poetry is widely accepted to have started during the early agricultural societies, spoken or chanted as a spell to promote good harvests as well as means to express the people's struggles and triumphs. The earliest known Western poetry comes from the legendary Homer who is attributed in writing the two epic masterpieces The Iliad and The Odyssey. Of course the Greeks also used poetry to communicate other thematic messages. Names of many revered writers from 500 BC and beyond are still recited and ring a bell when we hear and read their names such as Sophocles and Euripides. Epics such as France's La Chanson de Roland’s Beowulf from the Medieval period are still read (this was actually one of the books that was a required reading in my high school English class = I disliked it a lot) and Shakespeare’s works from the Renaissance Period of course lives on.

Perhaps the continuous use of poetry was nowhere ubiquitous as is in Vietnam. As reported on BBC, until the turn of the 20th century almost 95 percent of Vietnamese literature is believed to be in the form of poetry, even history books are sometimes written entirely in poetry. And in Vietnam, Thien is the most well-known and respected contemporary poets. The man is truly fascinating with a stubborn will for dignity and the truth. Thien, first got in trouble with the communist North Vietnamese government in the 1960s. He decided to substitute for his ailing high school history teacher and he realized the textbook stated Japan’s defeat in World War II was to the Soviet Union. Thien told the class that no, that was in fact not accurate, Japan surrendered to the US following the US dropping two atomic bombs in hiroshima and nagasaki. The 21 years old Thien was soon arrested and spent the better part of the next 27 years in different prisons and hard labor detention camps.

Thien, was not allowed and did not had the access to continue writing while in prison, but that did not stop him from writing, editing, storing and deleting his poems in his head. When he gets the opportunity he recited his poems to his close friends and mates he wrote some 700 poems this way. At one point, as the Economist reported, Thien took the risk to smuggled 400 of his poems to the British Embassy in Hanoi and begged them to have it published in the West. Though, the Brits rejected his request for asylum and the North Vietnamese government sent him to prison for 6 years for his attempt; his collection of poems was published as Flowers From Hell. The book has been translated to many languages and it won the International Poetry Award in Rotterdam in 1985.

Thien was freed in 1991 and went to the US in 1995, settled in Orange County CA aka in ‘little Vietnam’ where he published two more short stories and converted to Catholicism. Thien was also finally reunited with his brother (who fought on the South Vietnamese side) and had not seen each other since 1954.

The price some pay to stand up for the truth and one’s convictions is something that directly or indirectly affects us all.  As Dr. Martin Luther King eloquently wrote it once from a jail cell “Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere. We are all indebted to courageous people like Nguyen Chi Thien.

Cheers,
Daniel 

Oct 1, 2013

What Africa Can Learn from East Asia’s Developmental Success by Joseph E. Stiglitz Ph.D

The nobel laureate writes, poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa is almost the rule not the exception. From 1990 - 2010 the # of people living in poverty (≤ $1.25/day) rose from 300 million to ~425 million and those living <$2/day grew from 390 million to ~600million. However, the proportion of those living in poverty declined from 57% to 49%. From 2007 – 2011 with Ethiopia leading the pack, 5 out of 10 fastest growing countries in the world were in East Africa. Yet, the number of Africans who reached middle class status (making ≥$20K) is no more than India’s middle class.

When zooming in on some of the data in the article, it shows African countries are not optimizing on their resources, the table below shows some difference of how Africans and Asians manage their farmland.  

Region
% of arable & permanent cropland irrigated
Fertilizer use/hectare
Africa
4%
13 Kg
East Asia
29%
190 Kg
South Asia
39%
90 Kg

Prof. Stiglitz advises that, as the wages rise in China, manufacturing will be outsourced and African countries will have the chance to attract this labor-intensive sector. Capitalizing on this opportunity requires balanced policy from African leaders; and to do that effectively, reflecting on the policies followed by the East Asian countries rather than the neo-liberal aka Washington consensus of policy recommendations will be of much beneficial.

Cheers,
Daniel